Technology Assessment and Forecasting;
Developing a Framework for Understanding What Comes Next
In this session, we talk about technology assessment and forecasting. Some techniques for technology assessment are introduced, such as Delphi, scenarios, brainstorming, SWOT analysis, road-mapping and gaming and so on.
We also talk about some approaches of technology assessment, such as participative TA, constructive TA and so on.
There are a lot of aspects needed to be assessed, such as economic, ethical, environmental, social influence and so on.
Traditional technology assessment is technocratic, but nowadays, participative technology assessment has been developed and many stakeholders are engaged in the technology assessment. Such a participative method not only provides more comprehensive understanding of certain technology, but also promotes consensus and the implementation of related policies.
However, participative technology assessment should be complemented by technology literacy, especially in developing countries. If someone knows little or nothing about technology, how can he make good judgment of it? To promote technology literacy, another problem to be solved is the availability of technology. If someone has never used modern technology, how can he understand it?
Just as other democratic issues, the implementation of participatory technology assessment approach needs not only participation. It also needs education and availability of technology.
My personal rating for this session is 8. It’s always good that we can watch videos and participate in discussions. According to one of our readings of last session, learning can be made more effective by using immersion, engage multiple channels of experience and interaction. I think our professor has done this very well.